European Championship
Jul 6, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Xavi Simons 30' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ake 54' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 64' yellowcard
  • Stefan de Vrij 70' goal
  • Mert Muldur 76' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Samet Akaydin 35'
  • yellowcard Cenk Tosun 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Montella 90'+5'
  • redcard Bertug Yildirim 90'+6'

Netherlands vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
Player Ratings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Turkey

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result

Netherlands 52.49% (+0.69)
Draw 23.28% (-0.13)
Turkey 24.23% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.93% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.07% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.54% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.46% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.19% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.81% (-0.02)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 83.2% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 16.8% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 53.24% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 46.76% (-0.46)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 67.97% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 32.03% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 31.51% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 68.49% (+0.53)

Score analysis

Netherlands 52.49%
Draw 23.27%
Turkey 24.23%
Netherlands
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.6% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.09% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.27% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 52.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
Turkey
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.23%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Davy Klaassen 1' goal
  • Memphis Depay 16' goal
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 31' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 38' goal
  • Memphis Depay 54' goal
  • Virgil van Dijk 78' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 80' goal
  • Donyell Malen 90' goal
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 15'
  • yellowcard Okay Yokuslu 29'
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 36'
  • redcard Caglar Soyuncu 44'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 58'
  • goal Cengiz Under 90'+2'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2021 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
  • Burak Yilmaz 15' goal
  • Kenan Karaman 32' yellowcard
  • Burak Yilmaz 34' goal
  • Ozan Tufan 36' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 46' goal
  • Burak Yilmaz 52' yellowcard
  • Umut Meras 72' yellowcard
  • Burak Yilmaz 81' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 50'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 75'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 76'
European Championship
Sep 6, 2015 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Oguzhan Ozyakup 8' goal
  • Arda Turan 24' yellowcard
  • Arda Turan 26' goal
  • Sener Ozbayrakli 69' yellowcard
  • Hakan Balta 74' yellowcard
  • Oguzhan Ozyakup 75' yellowcard
  • Burak Yilmaz 85' goal
  • Ozan Tufan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin van Persie 36'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 62'
European Championship
Mar 28, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory van der Wiel 68' yellowcard
  • Wesley Sneijder 92' goal
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 37'
  • yellowcard Gokhan Tore 42'
World Cup
Sep 7, 2012 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin van Persie 0' goal
  • Luciano Narsingh 0' goal

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