Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.