/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
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Boyd Lucassen
5'
-
Boy Kemper
32'
-
Ricardo Pepi
21'
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Ismael Saibari
33'
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Ricardo Pepi
34'
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Johan Bakayoko
35'
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Johan Bakayoko
65'
NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
NAC Breda
16.31%
▼
(-0.25)
Draw
18.55%
▼
(-0.15)
PSV Eindhoven
65.14%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
60.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.62%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
33.38%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
44.84%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
55.16%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 4.5
26.16%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 4.5
73.84%
▼
(-0.22)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5
66.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
33.54%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
29.82%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
70.18%
▲
(+0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
90.35%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
9.65%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
67.79%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
32.21%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
NAC Breda
16.31%
Draw
18.55%
PSV Eindhoven
65.14%
NAC Breda
2-1
@
4.52%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.31%
1-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.27%
▼
(-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
9.67%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-5 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 65.14%
0-2 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-5 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 65.14%
Jetro Willems
1'