Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.