Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Victory
Feb 22, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 48' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 45'+7' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 53' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 50'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 56'
  • goal Kai Trewin 70'

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 14, 2025 8.35am
Victory 1 - 0 Wellington
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 6.00am
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Perth Glory
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 42.44% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 23.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Melbourne City 34.43% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.25% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.96% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 37.04% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 40.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 59.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 22.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.24% ▲ (+0.09)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 78.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 21.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 45.17% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 54.83% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.44%
Draw 23.13%
Melbourne City 34.43%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.43%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Victory
Dec 21, 2024 8.35am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
Melbourne City
  • Roderick Miranda 65' goal
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 69'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Melbourne City
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
1
3
HT : 0 6
FT AAMI Park
Victory
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 64' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'
Australian A-League
Victory
May 5, 2024 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Marvel Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Daniel Arzani 11' yellowcard
  • Zinedine Machach 37' redcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 50' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 88' goal
  • Damien Da Silva 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 5'
  • goal Samuel Souprayen 29'
  • yellowcard James Jeggo 38'
  • yellowcard Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Terry Antonis 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 102'
  • redcard Curtis Good 118'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Victory
Apr 6, 2024 9.45am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Marvel Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Daniel Arzani 7' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 7' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 34' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 34' goal
  • Damien Da Silva 40' yellowcard
  • Damien Da Silva 40' yellowcard
  • Zinedine Machach 82' yellowcard
  • Damien Da Silva 86' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tolgay Arslan 4'
  • goal Tolgay Arslan 4'
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 27'
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 27'
  • yellowcard Max Caputo 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Fernandez 83'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
Victory
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • Marin Jakolis 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 5'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 5'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 35'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 35'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory
  • Marin Jakolis 25' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 28' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 89' goal
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 45'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 59'

Form Data

Victory 1 - 0 Wellington
Newcastle Jets 3 - 0 Victory
Perth Glory 0 - 2 Victory
Victory 2 - 0 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 3 - 2 Victory
Victory 3 - 4 Western Utd
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Perth Glory
Adelaide United 1 - 0 Melbourne City
Macarthur 1 - 0 Melbourne City
Auckland FC 3 - 0 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Western Utd