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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Jan 25, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Melbourne City

Macarthur
1 - 0
Melbourne City

Germain (62')
Hollman (46'), Deli (58'), Scott (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Monday, January 20 at 8am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.32%) and 1-3 (5.15%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
35.95% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)22.05% (0.02 0.02)42% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 68.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.8% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)31.2% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.38% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)52.62% (0.145 0.15)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)18.27% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.174 -0.17)49.32% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 35.95%
    Melbourne City 42%
    Draw 22.05%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.88% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 42%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 9.28am
Gameweek 19
Macarthur
2-0
Melbourne City
Oliveira (47', 57')

Nabbout (89')
Nov 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-3
Macarthur
MacLaren (58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Sakhi (71')
Davila (61'), Hollman (83'), Millar (88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Mar 19, 2023 8am
Gameweek 21
Macarthur
1-1
Melbourne City
Romero (26')
Aspropotamitis (66' og.)
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Melbourne City
6-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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