Championship Gameweek 38
Luton
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Jacob Brown 64' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Iling-Junior 24'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 75'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 89'

Luton Town vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 QPR
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 32.13% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 26.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Middlesbrough 41.48% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.51% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 52.49% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 25.84% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 74.15% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 11.9% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 88.1% ▲ (+0.24)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.5% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 33.29% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 66.71% ▲ (+0.41)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 24.99% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 40.36% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 59.64% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Luton Town 32.13%
Draw 26.39%
Middlesbrough 41.48%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.39%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.48%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Luton
  • Delano Burgzorg 30' goal
  • Delano Burgzorg 31' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 43' goal
  • Finn Azaz 51' goal
  • Delano Burgzorg 54' goal
  • Finn Azaz 87' goal
  • yellowcard Shandon Baptiste 15'
  • yellowcard Daiki Hashioka 49'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 62'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 66'
  • goal Jordan Clark 77'
Championship Gameweek 44
Luton
Apr 24, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Tom Lockyer 49' goal
  • Carlton Morris 67' goal
  • goal Cameron Archer 40'
Championship Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Luton
  • Chuba Akpom 38' goal
  • Matt Crooks 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jordan Clark 33'
Championship Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Paddy McNair 17' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 87' goal
  • Joe Lumley 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Josh Coburn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 20'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 50'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 61'
  • goal Harry Cornick 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 16
Luton
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Daniel Potts 30' yellowcard
  • James Bree 31' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 57' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 60' goal
  • Harry Cornick 62' goal
  • Fred Onyedinma 70' yellowcard
  • Henri Lansbury 79' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Coburn 15'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 39'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 59'
  • yellowcard Duncan Watmore 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
Luton
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Glen Rea 19' goal
  • Glen Rea 75' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan Watmore 21'

Form Data

Cardiff 1 - 2 Luton
Burnley 4 - 0 Luton
Luton 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Watford 2 - 0 Luton
Luton 1 - 1 Plymouth
Luton 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 QPR
Swansea 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby
Stoke 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Bristol City 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Watford