Champions League
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Mohamed Salah 34' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 67' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Harvey Elliott 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aissa Mandi 37'
  • redcard Aissa Mandi 59'
  • goal Jonathan David 62'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 88'

Liverpool vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2024 5.45pm
Girona 0 - 1 Liverpool

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 11, 2024 5.45pm
Lille 3 - 2 Sturm Graz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result

Liverpool 62.65% (+0.02)
Draw 21.1% (-0.01)
Lille 16.24% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.52% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.48% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 32.19% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.81% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.21% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.79% (-0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 86.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.91% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.65% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 41.36% (-0.03)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 58.92% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.08% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.63% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Liverpool 62.64%
Draw 21.09%
Lille 16.25%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.6% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 62.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.09%
Lille
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.25%

Build-up

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