Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.