Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.