Serie A Gameweek 37
Lecce
May 18, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 25'
  • yellowcard El Bilal Toure 37'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 44'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 48'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 53'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 67'

Lecce vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2024 5.30pm
Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Gianluca Scamacca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Lecce 26.86% ▲ (+1.06)
Draw 26.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Atalanta BC 46.83% ▼ (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51% ▲ (+0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.47% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 54.52% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 24.12% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 75.88% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 10.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 89.19% ▼ (-0.24)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 64.52% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 0.5 35.48% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 1.5 27.75% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 1.5 72.24% ▼ (-1.16)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 76.73% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 23.27% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 42.8% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 57.19% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Lecce 26.86%
Draw 26.31%
Atalanta BC 46.82%
Lecce
1-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 12.03% ▼ (-0.34)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.82%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Atalanta
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Lecce
  • Davide Zappacosta 35' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 58' goal
  • Emil Holm 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 82'
  • yellowcard Remi Oudin 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Atalanta
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Lecce
  • Rasmus Hojlund 87' goal
  • goal Assan Ceesay 4'
  • goal Alexis Blin 74'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Lecce
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • Federico Baschirotto 27' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 29' goal
  • goal Duvan Zapata 40'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Lecce
Mar 1, 2020 2.00pm
2
7
HT : 2 2
FT Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • Riccardo Saponara 29' goal
  • Giulio Donati 40' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 66' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Saponara 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giulio Donati 17' (OG)
  • goal Duvan Zapata 22'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 45'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 47'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 54'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Palomino 57'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 62'
  • goal Luis Muriel 87'
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskiy 90'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 6, 2019 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
Lecce
  • Duvan Zapata 35' goal
  • Papu 40' goal
  • Robin Gosens 56' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 63' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 62'
  • yellowcard Zan Majer 84'
  • goal Fabio Lucioni 86'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 89'

Form Data

Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese
Cagliari 1 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Monza
Sassuolo 0 - 3 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 0 Empoli
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Atalanta 0 - 1 Juventus
Atalanta 2 - 1 Roma
Atalanta 3 - 0 Marseille
Salernitana 1 - 2 Atalanta
Marseille 1 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 0 Empoli