Europa League
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Samuel Gigot 4' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 28' yellowcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 45'+5' goal
  • Matteo Guendouzi 81' yellowcard
  • Pedro 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 15'
  • yellowcard Samu Omorodion 30'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 39'
  • yellowcard Tiago Djalo 45'+1'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 66'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gul 81'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'+4'

Lazio vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
FC Twente 0 - 2 Lazio

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 Hoffenheim

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result

Lazio 36.35% (-0.13)
Draw 27.22% (-0.02)
Porto 36.42% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.21% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.74% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 55.26% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 23.52% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.48% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.43% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.57% (-0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 70.84% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.16% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 34.9% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.1% (+0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 70.88% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 29.12% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 34.95% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 65.05% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Lazio 36.35%
Draw 27.22%
Porto 36.41%
Lazio
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
Porto
0-1 @ 10.47% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.46% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.41%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 24, 2022 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stefan Radu 4' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 19' goal
  • Danilo Cataldi 76' yellowcard
  • Patric 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Alberto 78' yellowcard
  • Danilo Cataldi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 31'
  • yellowcard Zaidu Sanusi 45'+2'
  • goal Mateus Uribe 68'
  • yellowcard Otavio 78'
Europa League
Feb 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marko Grujic 4' yellowcard
  • Toni Martinez 37' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Toni Martinez 49' goal
  • Galeno 72' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 73' yellowcard
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 23'
  • yellowcard Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 39'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 78'