Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.