Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.