Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.