Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.