/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvenlog.png)
-
Enner Valencia
22'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
29'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
40'
-
Kendry Paez
45'+1'
-
Darwin Machis
31'
-
Cristian Casseres Jr
45'+2'
-
Jhonder Cadiz
64'
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Eduard Bello
74'
Ecuador vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fecuador.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.84%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result
Ecuador
47.5%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
29.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Venezuela
23.28%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
39.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
33.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
66.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
15.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
84.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
5.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
94.25%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
71.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
28.29%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
35.98%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
64.02%
▼
(-0.06)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
54.61%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
45.38%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
18.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
81.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Ecuador
47.49%
Draw
29.21%
Venezuela
23.27%
Ecuador
1-0
@
16.21%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 47.49%
2-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 47.49%
Draw
0-0
@
12.84%
1-1 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 29.21%
Venezuela
0-1
@
10.14%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.27%