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Ebou Adams
20'
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Kenzo Goudmijn
28'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
69'
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Joel Bagan
56'
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Will Fish
61'
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Joe Ralls
65'
Derby County vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Cardiff City Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.93%
0-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.01%
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.07%