Championship Gameweek 4
Derby
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Bristol City
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 28' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 60' goal
  • Ryan Nyambe 76' yellowcard
  • David Ozoh 89' goal

Derby County vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Watford 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Bristol City 1 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result

Derby County 39.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 27.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Bristol City 32.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.3%
Under 1.5 64.7% ▲ (+0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 66.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Derby County 39.62%
Draw 27.98%
Bristol City 32.38%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.98%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.38%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 44
Derby
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Bristol City
  • Nathan Byrne 54' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 61' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 9'
  • goal Andreas Weimann 10'
  • yellowcard Ayman Benarous 16'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 38'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 63'
  • goal Timm Klose 79'
Championship Gameweek 21
Bristol City
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Derby
  • Alex Scott 16' goal
  • Tyreeq Bakinson 39' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalas 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cameron Pring 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 39'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 40'
Championship Gameweek 27
Derby
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Bristol City
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 4' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 54'
Championship Gameweek 12
Bristol City
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby
  • Jamie Paterson 46' yellowcard
  • Famara Diedhiou 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 58'
Championship Gameweek 32
Bristol City
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby
  • Nahki Wells 38' goal
  • Filip Benkovic 44' goal
  • Famara Diedhiou 58' goal
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 12'
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 61'
  • goal Chris Martin 82'
Championship Gameweek 4
Derby
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Bristol City
  • Tom Huddlestone 79' yellowcard
  • Kieran Dowell 81' yellowcard
  • Jack Marriott 85' goal
  • goal Andreas Weimann 16'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 75'

Form Data

Barrow 0 - 0 Derby
Watford 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Derby 2 - 1 Chesterfield
Blackburn 4 - 2 Derby
Derby 2 - 1 Valladolid
Bristol City 1 - 1 Coventry
Bristol City 4 - 3 Millwall
Bristol City 0 - 1 Coventry
Hull City 1 - 1 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 0 Willem II
Bristol City 2 - 1 Exeter