Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.