La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 51' goal
  • Hugo Sotelo 82' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 19'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 20'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 75'

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
Las Palmas 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Celta Vigo 24.04% (+0.01)
Draw 23.99% (+0.01)
Real Madrid 51.96% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.59% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.96% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.04% (+0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 66.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.99%
Over 1.5 29.34%
Under 1.5 70.66% (-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.22% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 24.04%
Draw 23.99%
Real Madrid 51.96%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.96%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 21' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Vicente Guaita 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 88' goal
  • Arda Guler 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 82'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 3' goal
  • Iago Aspas 67' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 71'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 42' goal
  • Eder Militao 48' goal
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Renato Tapia 13' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 23' goal
  • Hugo Mallo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 14'
  • goal Luka Modric 41'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 68'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javi Galan 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 40' yellowcard
  • Nolito 52' goal
  • Jeison Murillo 57' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 19'
  • goal Karim Benzema 69'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Karim Benzema 24' goal
  • Nacho 32' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 72' goal
  • Karim Benzema 87' goal
  • goal Santi Mina 4'
  • goal Franco Cervi 31'
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 43'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 63'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 63'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups