Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Hinshelwood (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rashford (51'), Asensio (78'), Malen (90+10')
Disasi (90+1'), Martinez (90'), Watkins (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, March 29 at 5.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Preston 0-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
45.74% ( 0.09)	23.52% ( -0.05)	30.73% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.21% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.63% (

0.21)

40.37% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

0.22)

62.74% (

-0.21)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.12)

17.95% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

0.2)

48.77% (

-0.2)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.08)

25.4% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

0.11)

60.2% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.74%

Aston Villa 30.73%

Draw 23.52%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.74%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.73%