Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.