Copa America
Jul 3, 2024 2.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Vinicius Junior 7' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 7' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 12' goal
  • Raphinha 12' goal
  • Joao Gomes 27' yellowcard
  • Joao Gomes 27' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 73' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 25'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 25'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 27'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 27'
  • goal Daniel Munoz 45'+2'
  • goal Daniel Munoz 45'+2'

Brazil vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 29, 2024 2.00am
Paraguay 1 - 4 Brazil

Colombia

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 28, 2024 11.00pm
Colombia 3 - 0 Costa Rica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Brazil 51.49% (-0.98)
Draw 24.6% (-0.02)
Colombia 23.91% (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.94% (+1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.99% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 50.01% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 28.01% (+0.90)
Under 3.5 71.99% (-0.90)
Over 4.5 13.32% (+0.60)
Under 4.5 86.68% (-0.60)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 80.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.41% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.77% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.23% (-0.01)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 64.45% (+1.48)
Under 0.5 35.54% (-1.48)
Over 1.5 27.69% (+1.50)
Under 1.5 72.31% (-1.49)

Score analysis

Brazil 51.49%
Draw 24.59%
Colombia 23.91%
Brazil
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.20)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.59%
Colombia
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.05% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.69% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.10)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2023 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
  • Davinson Sanchez 20' yellowcard
  • Davinson Sanchez 20' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 75' goal
  • Luis Diaz 75' goal
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 4'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 4'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 21'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 21'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 78'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 78'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 12, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fred 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 72' goal
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 84' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johan Mojica 23'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 29'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 43'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 10, 2021 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Borre 63' yellowcard
Copa America
Jun 24, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alex Sandro 14' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 27' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 78' goal
  • Neymar 87' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 90'+10' goal
  • goal Luis Diaz 10'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 70'
  • yellowcard David Ospina 81'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cuellar 90'+12'
International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Casemiro 19' goal
  • Casemiro 23' yellowcard
  • Neymar 58' goal
  • goal Luis Muriel 25'
  • goal Luis Muriel 34'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 5, 2017 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
  • Radamel Falcao 56' goal
  • goal Willian 45'