League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • John McAtee 39' goal
  • George Thomason 49' goal
  • John McAtee 53' yellowcard
  • Aaron Morley 61' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 71' goal
  • Chris Forino-Joseph 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Chris Forino-Joseph 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Jordi Osei-Tutu 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Emil Hansson 23'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 48'
  • yellowcard Luke Harris 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 90'+9'

Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 12.30pm
Wrexham 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 12.30pm
Birmingham 1 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 32.39% (-0.09)
Draw 25.44% (-0.27)
Birmingham City 42.17% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.57% (+1.13)
Under 2.5 48.44% (-1.12)
Over 3.5 29.43% (+1.02)
Under 3.5 70.57% (-1.02)
Over 4.5 14.28% (+0.70)
Under 4.5 85.72% (-0.69)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 71.7% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 28.31% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 35.97% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 64.04% (-0.63)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 77.15% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 22.86% (-0.66)
Over 1.5 43.41% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 56.59% (-0.97)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 32.39%
Draw 25.44%
Birmingham City 42.17%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.2% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-97.00)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.26)
1-2 @ 8.89% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.38% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.47% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.62% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-94.99)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.17%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Tomoki Iwata 3' goal
  • Jay Stansfield 86' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Dempsey 18'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 24'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 39'
  • yellowcard John McAtee 78'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
  • Wes Harding 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Connolly 69'
  • goal Callum Connolly 71'
  • yellowcard Craig Noone 96'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Will Buckley 73' goal
  • Will Buckley 75' yellowcard
  • Pawel Olkowski 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 14'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 71'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 83'
Championship
Apr 3, 2018 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jon Flanagan 54' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 41'
  • redcard Che Adams 67'
  • yellowcard David Davis 75'
Championship
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacques Maghoma 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filipe Morais 87'
Championship
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Clayton Donaldson 29' goal
  • Diego Fabbrini 55' yellowcard
  • Clayton Donaldson 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Moxey 68'
  • yellowcard Mark Davies 88'