/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Dan Ndoye
64'
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Dan Ndoye
64'
-
Michel Aebischer
90'+2'
-
Michel Aebischer
90'+2'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
18'
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
18'
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Giovanni Di Lorenzo
60'
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Giovanni Di Lorenzo
60'
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Mathias Olivera
79'
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Mathias Olivera
79'
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
89'
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
89'
Bologna vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Bologna
36.56%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
27.76%
▲
(+0.33)
Napoli
35.67%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
48.51%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.63%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
57.37%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
21.81%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 3.5
78.19%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 4.5
9.4%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 4.5
90.6%
▲
(+0.61)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
69.93%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
30.07%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 1.5
33.79%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
66.21%
▲
(+0.87)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
69.37%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
30.63%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
33.13%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
66.87%
▲
(+0.88)
Score analysis
Bologna
36.56%
Draw
27.76%
Napoli
35.66%
Bologna
1-0
@
11.06%
▲
(+0.32)
2-1 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.56%
2-1 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.56%
Draw
1-1
@
13.09%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.76%
0-0 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.76%
Napoli
0-1
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.66%
1-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.66%