Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lille in this match.