Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Ivo Rodrigues 7' yellowcard
  • Jason 30' goal
  • David Simao 59' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Silva 45'+2'
  • goal Gustavo Assuncao 77'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 87'

Arouca vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 6.00pm
Porto 4 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfonso Trezza

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2024 8.15pm
AVS 0 - 0 Farense
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for AVS had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 51.28% (-0.28)
Draw 22.88% (+0.05)
AVS 25.84% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.67% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 40.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 36.88% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.12% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.69% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.31% (+0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 83.99% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 16.01% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 54.66% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 45.33% (+0.20)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.95% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 35.16% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 64.84% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Arouca 51.28%
Draw 22.87%
AVS 25.84%
Arouca
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 51.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.87%
AVS
1-2 @ 6.52% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.74% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.84%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Sep 26, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Balla Sangare 23' yellowcard
  • Carlos Daniel Barbosa da Silva 59' goal
  • Leo Alaba 90'+5' redcard
  • Idrissa Dioh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 17'
  • goal Cristo 67'
  • yellowcard David Simao 90'+9'