Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 11.30am
AC Milan 3 - 2 Parma
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Inter Milan
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 35.46% (+0.31)
Draw 25.6% (-0.12)
Inter Milan 38.94% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.52% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 48.47% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 29.39% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 70.6% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 14.25% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 85.74% (-0.35)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.55% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 26.44% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 38.38% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 61.62% (-0.58)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 24.51% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 41.03% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 58.97% (-0.22)

Score analysis

AC Milan 35.46%
Draw 25.6%
Inter Milan 38.94%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.06% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.54% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.19% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 38.94%

Head to Head

Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 6, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 72' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 89' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 57'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 80'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 28' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 68' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 10'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 38'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 89'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 80' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Davide Calabria 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 18'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 22'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 23'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 32'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 49'
  • redcard Denzel Dumfries 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 38' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 72' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+3' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • goal Rafael Leao 57'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 61'
Champions League
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
Champions League
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'