Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 22'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 42'

AC Milan vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2024 7.45pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 2.00pm
Genoa 0 - 0 Torino
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Andrea Pinamonti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 75.03% (+0.27)
Draw 15.78% (-0.01)
Genoa 9.19% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.18% (-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.24% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 38.76% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 38.93% (-0.91)
Under 3.5 61.07% (+0.92)
Over 4.5 21.29% (-0.73)
Under 4.5 78.71% (+0.73)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 91.24% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 8.76% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 69.91% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 30.09% (+0.37)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 51.71% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 48.29% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 16.56% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 83.44% (+0.84)

Score analysis

AC Milan 75%
Draw 15.78%
Genoa 9.19%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 12.53% (+0.34)
1-0 @ 10.29% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 10.17% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 6.2% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.13)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.78%
Genoa
0-1 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.19%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 43' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 45' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 72' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 5'
  • goal Caleb Ekuban 48'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Alberto Gilardino 10'+10' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 69' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 22'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 47'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
  • redcard Mike Maignan 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 11' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 84' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 79'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Jan 13, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
ET
  • Sandro Tonali 42' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 74' goal
  • Rafael Leao 102' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 112' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 115' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 17'
  • yellowcard Milan Badelj 37'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 47'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 53'
  • yellowcard Silvan Hefti 64'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andrea Masiello 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 73' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 10'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 32'
  • goal Junior Messias 45'+2'
  • goal Junior Messias 61'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ante Rebic 13' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 68' goal
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 26'
  • goal Mattia Destro 37'