League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 21, 2026 12.30pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.45pm
Newport 4 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw has a probability of 23.72% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 1-2 (6.16%).

Result

Newport County 53.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Swindon Town 22.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 22.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 54.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 45.49% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 31.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 68.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.51% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Newport County 40.92%
Draw 40.59%
Swindon Town 18.5%

Team To Score First

Newport County 62.16% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Swindon Town 31.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.79%
Equal 8 10.71%
Under 8 23.5%
Over 9 54.13%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 34.21%
Over 10.5 42.55%
Under 10.5 57.45%

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 51.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 48.46% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 25.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 74.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.06)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 73.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 91.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 53.83%
Draw 23.72%
Swindon Town 22.49%
Newport County
1-0 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 10.12%
2-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 53.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.72%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.49%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Dan Butler 63' yellowcard
  • James Debayo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Gerard Garner 4'
  • goal Tanatswa Nyakuhwa 80'
League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Fletcher Holman 63' goal
  • Joe Thomas 66' goal
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Lee Jenkins 9' yellowcard
  • Kai Whitmore 17' yellowcard
  • Cameron Evans 32' yellowcard
  • Michael Spellman 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Palmer 10'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 53'
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 59'
  • yellowcard Paul Glatzel 73'
  • yellowcard Adam Murphy 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Butterworth 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Kyle Hudlin 12' goal
  • Kyle Hudlin 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kieron Evans 47' yellowcard
  • Kai Whitmore 57' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 15'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 45'+1'
  • goal Joe Westley 75'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT County Ground
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 4' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 18' goal
  • Matthew Baker 21' goal
  • Joel Cotterill 45' goal
  • Gavin Kilkenny 56' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Shane McLoughlin 3' yellowcard
  • Scot Bennett 39' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 53' goal
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 74' goal
  • goal Paul Glatzel 46'
  • yellowcard Williams Kokolo 51'
  • yellowcard Dawson Devoy 72'
  • yellowcard Jack Bycroft 75'
  • yellowcard Saidou Khan 77'