La Liga Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
May 24, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Sociedad
  • Kylian Mbappe 38' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 69.71% ▼ (-0.98)
Draw 16.88% ▲ (+0.53)
Real Sociedad 13.41% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68% ▼ (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.35% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 2.5 31.65% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 3.5 46.84% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 3.5 53.15% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 4.5 27.9% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 4.5 72.1% ▲ (+1.63)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.83% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 0.5 8.17% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 1.5 71.37% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 1.5 28.63% ▲ (+1.48)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 63.9% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 36.1% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.44)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 69.71%
Draw 16.88%
Real Sociedad 13.41%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.41)
4-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.15)
5-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.11)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 69.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.88%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 13.41%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Apr 1, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Sociedad
  • Endrick 30' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 82' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 86' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 115' goal
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 16'
  • goal David Alaba 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 74'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 87'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 87'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jon Ander Olasagasti 106'
Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad
Feb 26, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • goal Endrick 19'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 86'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Real Sociedad
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • Umar Sadiq 17' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 28' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 82' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 79'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Real Sociedad
Apr 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • Robin Le Normand 40' yellowcard
  • Igor Zubeldia 70' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arda Guler 15'
  • goal Arda Guler 29'
  • yellowcard Fran Garcia 56'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 83'
  • yellowcard Nacho 88'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Real Madrid
Sep 17, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Sociedad
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 46' goal
  • Joselu 60' goal
  • Fran Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 5'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 77'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Real Sociedad
May 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • Takefusa Kubo 47' goal
  • Ander Barrenetxea 85' goal

Form Data

Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Mallorca
Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid
Getafe 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Girona
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Atletico 4 - 0 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Villarreal 2 - 2 Real Sociedad

Build-up

Feature