Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 55.94% ( | 22.95% ( | 21.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( | 46.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( | 68.42% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( | 45.88% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( | 36.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% ( | 72.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.1% |