Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.