We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Sevilla
Celta need to bounce back this weekend in order to boost their European hopes, and they will be confident of overcoming a struggling Sevilla; we are expecting a tight match in terms of the scoreline, but the hosts should be able to navigate their way to all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.