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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Sevilla

Garcia (25')
Catena (33'), Ibanez (45+2'), Zaragoza (78'), Areso (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Angel Carmona (64'), Sanchez (87')
Lukebakio (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, April 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
33.95% (-0.244 -0.24)27.39% (-0.181 -0.18)38.66% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 49.48% (0.51 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.657 0.66)56.08% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.53 0.53)77.16% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.17100000000001 0.17)31.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.198 0.2)67.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.562 0.56)28.2% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.704 0.7)63.89% (-0.708 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 33.95%
    Sevilla 38.65%
    Draw 27.39%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
60.3%
Draw
27.9%
Sevilla
11.8%
68
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Sevilla
1-1
Osasuna
Lukebakio (73')
Sow (50')
Budimir (70')
Catena (81')
Jan 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
1-1
Osasuna
Romero (24')
Agoume (6'), Soumare (56'), Ramos (84')
Suso (86')
Budimir (55')
Sep 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Osasuna
0-0
Sevilla
Budimir (68'), Torro (74')
Salas (57'), Rakitic (64'), Pedrosa (81')
Feb 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Sevilla
2-3
Osasuna
Gudelj (63'), En-Nesyri (78')
Garcia (18'), Fernando (67' og.), Ezzalzouli (85')
Jan 25, 2023 9pm
Quarter-Finals
Osasuna
2-1
Sevilla
Avila (71'), Ezzalzouli (99')
En-Nesyri (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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