La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
3 - 2
Girona

Marin (5'), Oyarzabal (20' pen.), Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta (90+1')
Traore (62')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Stuani (10'), Portu (77')
Solis (49'), Stuani (62'), Martinez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, May 13 at 7pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Girona
Tuesday, May 13 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Girona
46.64% ( -0.78)	25.89% ( 0.29)	27.47% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47% (

-0.84)

52.53% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.72)

74.19% (

0.72)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

-0.7)

22.5% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

-1.06)

56.07% (

1.06)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

-0.05)

33.91% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

-0.06)

70.59% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 46.64%

Girona 27.47%

Draw 25.88%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.47%