Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.