Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 60.95% ( | 22.18% ( | 16.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.07% ( | 48.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.98% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( | 15.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.43% ( | 44.57% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.65% ( | 42.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.26% ( | 78.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 60.94% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.87% |