Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.