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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Valladolid logo

Mallorca
2 - 1
Valladolid

Mascarell (28'), Darder (49')
Raillo (34'), Lato (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
San Jose Cantalejo (11')
Ozkacar (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-0 Mallorca
Monday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, May 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
60.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 48.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)48.94% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.02% (0.012 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.59% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)44.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)42.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 60.94%
    Real Valladolid 16.87%
    Draw 22.18%
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Valladolid

Mallorca
70.0%
Draw
23.3%
Real Valladolid
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Valladolid
1-2
Mallorca
Sanchez (90+4')
Perez (21'), Juma Bah (76'), Comert (85')
Larin (59'), Fernandez (83')
Morlanes (26'), Samu (68')
Apr 9, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 28
Valladolid
3-3
Mallorca
Perez (33'), Amallah (68'), Monchu (86')
Muriqi (53', 90+4'), Morlanes (58')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Mallorca
1-0
Valladolid
Prats (90+4')
Feb 1, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mallorca
0-1
Valladolid

Budimir (17'), Rodriguez (25'), Reina (29'), Hernandez (67')
Unal (56')
Toni (66')
Nov 3, 2019 11am
Gameweek 12
Valladolid
3-0
Mallorca
Borja (40'), Unal (50' pen.), Ramirez (94')
Michel (45'), Borja (63'), Ramirez (66'), Unal (77'), Alcaraz (85')

Sevilla (55'), Valijent (77'), Sastre (88'), Febas (92')