La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 24, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
1 - 1
Girona

El Haddadi (90+2')
Altimira (14'), Brasanac (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Garcia (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stuani (54')
Gutierrez (66'), Arthur (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Leganes
Saturday, April 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-3 Betis
Monday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Girona
25.67% ( 0)	25.62% ( 0.06)	48.7% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.58% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.35% (

-0.22)

52.65% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

-0.19)

74.29% (

0.19)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

-0.12)

35.45% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.12)

72.21% (

0.12)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.12)

21.63% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

-0.18)

54.75% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Leganes 25.68%

Girona 48.7%

Draw 25.62%

Leganes	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.68%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.7%