Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.