Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
38.96% (![]() | 25.17% (![]() | 35.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% (![]() | 46.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% (![]() | 68.81% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% (![]() | 57.72% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 49 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
10 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
14 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
16 | GironaGirona | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 38 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 85 | -59 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |