La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
4 - 2
Osasuna

Perez (2', 39'), Barry (33'), Pepe (71')
Navarro Badenes (61'), Comesana (83'), Buchanan (88'), Baena (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Garcia (66'), Oroz (81' pen.)
Oroz (89'), Moreno (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Espanyol
Sunday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla
Thursday, April 24 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Osasuna
61.56% ( -0.5)	20.84% ( 0.31)	17.6% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 54.47% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07% (

-1.07)

41.93% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.66% (

-1.09)

64.34% (

1.09)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

-0.48)

13.12% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.98)

39.76% (

0.98)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.69% (

-0.42)

37.3% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.91% (

-0.42)

74.09% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 61.55%

Osasuna 17.6%

Draw 20.84%

Villarreal	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.6%