Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
57.2% (![]() | 22.77% | 20.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% (![]() | 46.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% | 68.99% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% (![]() | 16.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% (![]() | 45.48% (![]() |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% (![]() | 37.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% (![]() | 74.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 11% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 49 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
10 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
14 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
16 | GironaGirona | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 38 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 85 | -59 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |