Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.