La Liga Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Loic Bade 12' redcard
  • Isaac Romero 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 87'

Sevilla vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2025 8.30pm
Sevilla 1 - 0 Las Palmas
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2025 8.30pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Sevilla 35.22% (-1.48)
Draw 25.3% (-0.43)
Real Madrid 39.48% (+1.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.52% (+1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.81% (+1.79)
Under 2.5 47.18% (-1.79)
Over 3.5 30.58% (+1.64)
Under 3.5 69.42% (-1.65)
Over 4.5 15.08% (+1.13)
Under 4.5 84.92% (-1.14)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 74.02% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.99% (+0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (+1.83)
Under 0.5 23.65% (-1.83)
Over 1.5 42.25% (+2.56)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-2.57)

Score analysis

Sevilla 35.22%
Draw 25.29%
Real Madrid 39.48%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.64)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.44)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.48)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 8.61% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 6.39% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 4.14% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.07% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.79% (+0.23)
1-4 @ 1.49% (+0.20)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-95.30)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-86.60)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.48%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 10' goal
  • Federico Valverde 20' goal
  • Rodrygo 34' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 53' goal
  • Federico Valverde 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 35'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 76'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Rafa Mir 3' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 29'
  • goal Rodrygo 69'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Luka Modric 5' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 79' goal
  • Federico Valverde 81' goal
  • goal Erik Lamela 54'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ivan Rakitic 21' goal
  • Erik Lamela 25' goal
  • Anthony Martial 39' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 80' yellowcard
  • Oliver Torres 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 31'
  • goal Rodrygo 50'
  • yellowcard Nacho 78'
  • goal Nacho 82'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mariano 90'+9'

Build-up

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