La Liga Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
May 14, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Mallorca
  • Kylian Mbappe 68' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' goal
  • goal Martin Valjent 11'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sanchez 39'
  • yellowcard Samu 55'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 82'

Real Madrid vs Mallorca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 3.15pm
Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 5.30pm
Mallorca 2 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 76.28% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 14.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Mallorca 9.58% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 28.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 50.21% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 49.79% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 30.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 69.07% ▲ (+0.13)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 93.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 6.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 23.53% ▲ (+0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5 59.62% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 40.38% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 23% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 77% ▼ (-0.38)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 76.28%
Draw 14.14%
Mallorca 9.58%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 76.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.14%
Mallorca
1-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.58%

Head to Head

Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 9, 2025 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
Mallorca
  • Jude Bellingham 63' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Martin Valjent 90'+3' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+5' goal
La Liga Gameweek 1
Mallorca
Aug 18, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Madrid
  • Jagoba Arrasate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maffeo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 53' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 13'
  • redcard Ferland Mendy 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Mallorca
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Madrid
  • Antonio Raillo 16' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 48'
  • yellowcard Andriy Lunin 85'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Real Madrid
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Mallorca
  • Rodrygo 35' yellowcard
  • Andriy Lunin 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 78' goal
  • yellowcard Siebe Van der Heyden 1'
  • yellowcard Matija Nastasic 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 70'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Mallorca
Feb 5, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Madrid
  • Nacho 13' goal
La Liga Gameweek 5
Real Madrid
Sep 11, 2022 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Mallorca
  • Federico Valverde 45'+3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 72' goal
  • Rodrygo 89' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+3' goal
  • goal Vedat Muriqi 35'

Form Data

Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid
Getafe 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Arsenal
Mallorca 2 - 1 Valladolid
Girona 1 - 0 Mallorca
Barcelona 1 - 0 Mallorca
Mallorca 0 - 0 Leganes
Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Mallorca
Mallorca 1 - 2 Celta Vigo

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