La Liga
Gameweek
38
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fathlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
-
Yuri Berchiche
75'
-
Robert Lewandowski
14'
-
Robert Lewandowski
14'
-
Robert Lewandowski
17'
-
Dani Olmo
90'+4'
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F21%2Fathbar.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Fjules-kounde.jpeg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F20%2Flamine-yamal_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fgetbar.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Athletic Bilbao
32.53%
▲
(+4.55)
Draw
23.68%
▲
(+1.27)
Barcelona
43.79%
▼
(-5.82)
Both Teams to Score:
61.54%
▼
(-1.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.68%
▼
(-3.56)
Under 2.5
40.31%
▲
(+3.56)
Over 3.5
37.31%
▼
(-3.76)
Under 3.5
62.69%
▲
(+3.77)
Over 4.5
20.02%
▼
(-2.99)
Under 4.5
79.98%
▲
(+2.99)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
75.72%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 0.5
24.28%
▼
(-1.08)
Over 1.5
41.35%
▲
(+1.50)
Under 1.5
58.65%
▼
(-1.50)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
81.28%
▼
(-3.58)
Under 0.5
18.72%
▲
(+3.58)
Over 1.5
49.91%
▼
(-6.36)
Under 1.5
50.09%
▲
(+6.36)
Score analysis
Athletic Bilbao
32.53%
Draw
23.68%
Barcelona
43.79%
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
@
7.63%
▲
(+0.81)
1-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+1.17)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.94)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.50)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.53%
1-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+1.17)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.94)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.50)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.53%
Draw
1-1
@
10.78%
▲
(+0.84)
2-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.71)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
2-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.71)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
Barcelona
1-2
@
9.03%
▼
(-0.36)
0-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.87)
2-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.49)
0-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.74)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.68)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.42)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.79%
0-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.87)
2-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.49)
0-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.74)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.68)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.42)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.79%
Head to Head
Supercopa de Espana
-
Alex Berenguer
50'
-
Jules Kounde
76'
-
Gavi
17'
-
Lamine Yamal
52'
La Liga
Gameweek
2
-
Lamine Yamal
24'
-
Pau Cubarsi
41'
-
Marc Bernal Casas
49'
-
Robert Lewandowski
75'
-
Robert Lewandowski
85'
-
Fermin Lopez
90'+6'
-
Yeray Alvarez
38'
-
Oihan Sancet
42'
-
Alex Berenguer
56'
-
Inigo Lekue
87'
-
Ander Herrera
90'+6'
-
Mikel Jauregizar
90'+6'
La Liga
Gameweek
27
-
Dani Garcia
52'
-
Imanol
65'
-
Alex Berenguer
86'
-
Ronald Araujo
32'
-
Xavi
33'
-
Andreas Christensen
62'
-
Jules Kounde
88'
Copa del Rey
-
Gorka Guruzeta
1'
-
Oihan Sancet
36'
-
Oihan Sancet
49'
-
Benat Prados
82'
-
Inaki Williams
105'+2'
-
Ander Herrera
109'
-
Nico Williams
120'+1'
-
Nico Williams
120'+2'
-
Xavi
17'
-
Andreas Christensen
17'
-
Robert Lewandowski
26'
-
Lamine Yamal
32'
-
Ferran Torres
82'
-
Hector Fort
84'
-
Lamine Yamal
95'
-
Frenkie de Jong
115'
-
Sergi Roberto
117'
La Liga
Gameweek
10
-
Gavi
16'
-
Oriol Romeu
41'
-
Marc Guiu
80'
-
M. Guiu
83'
-
Marc Guiu
83'
-
Dani Garcia
37'
-
Adu Ares
73'
-
Oscar de Marcos
89'
La Liga
Gameweek
25
-
Raphinha
45'+1'
Form Data
Build-up
Feature