La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
0 - 2
Barcelona

Cheddira (84'), Kumbulla (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yamal (53'), Lopez (90+5')
Christensen (42'), Szczesny (90+5')

Reaction

A generic view of Espanyol's RCDE Stadium

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May 15, 22:10

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 3-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Espanyol win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Barcelona
16.6% ( -0.11)	18.9% ( 0.28)	64.49% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.44% (

-1.6)

34.56% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.5% (

-1.82)

56.5% (

1.82)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-1.13)

33.95% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-1.25)

70.62% (

1.25)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.87% (

-0.49)

10.13% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.67% (

-1.13)

33.33% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 16.6%

Barcelona 64.49%

Draw 18.9%

Espanyol	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 16.6%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.9%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.25% Total : 64.49%