Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Espanyol win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.