Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.