Barcelona

2 - 3

Villarreal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.