Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.