World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 15, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Philadelphia Stadium
  • Seko Fofana 28' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessié 38' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessié 39' yellowcard
  • Guela Doué 40' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jackson Porozo 73'
  • yellowcard Jackson Porozo 74'

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Ecuador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Ivory Coast 42.15% (+0.30)
Draw 27.65%
Ecuador 30.3% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.25% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 57.75% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 21.55% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 78.45% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 10.92% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 89.08% (+0.10)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 1.5 36.83% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 63.17% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 14.28% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.72% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.58% (+0.02)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 62.7% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 37.3% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 27.58% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 72.42% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 8.9% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 91.1% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.29% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.71% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 42.17%
Draw 27.66%
Ecuador 30.3%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 12.22% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 4.35% (-0.02)
Total : 42.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.66%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.22% (-0.06)
Total : 30.3%

Build-up

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