/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
-
Giacomo Raspadori
40'
-
Andrea Cambiaso
50'
-
85'
-
Davide Frattesi
85'
-
Nicky Clescenco
29'
-
Ion Nicolaescu
71'
Italy vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F12%2Fluciano-spalletti.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Moldova win it is 0-1 (5%).
Result
Italy
62.5%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
20.99%
▼
(-0.11)
Moldova
16.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.67%
▲
(+0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.49%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 2.5
44.5%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 3.5
33.12%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 3.5
66.87%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 4.5
16.88%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 4.5
83.11%
▼
(-0.29)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
86.35%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
13.65%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
59.17%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
40.83%
▼
(-0.35)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
59.84%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
40.16%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
23.2%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
76.79%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Italy
62.49%
Draw
20.99%
Moldova
16.51%
Italy
1-0
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.13)
2-0 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.49%
2-0 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.49%
Draw
1-1
@
9.96%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.99%
0-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.99%
Moldova
0-1
@
5%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.51%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.51%