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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Moldova national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadionul CPTF
Estonia national football team

Moldova
2 - 3
Estonia

Nicolaescu (67'), Caimacov (90+1')
Baboglo (48'), Nicolaescu (51'), Rata (63')
Cojocaru (5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peetson (19'), Sappinen (30'), Kait (70')
Peetson (35'), Palumets (44'), Kait (82'), Ainsalu (90+2')
Palumets (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Moldova and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Estonia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: Moldova 1-1 Estonia

 Not one of the previous five meetings between Moldova and Estonia has seen more than one goal scored, so entertainment value should be at a minimum between the two whipping boys of Group I. Hein and Soomets's blows will no doubt harm the Blueshirts' hopes of getting off the mark at the second attempt, though, and we have faith in Moldova to end their 10-game losing run in World Cup Qualifying and claim a point with a gritty defensive display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
MoldovaDrawEstonia
58.83% (-2.058 -2.06) 24.41% (0.609 0.61) 16.76% (1.449 1.45)
Both teams to score 42.25% (1.203 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)57.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.24%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)19.41% (0.771 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (-1.281 -1.28)51.24% (1.283 1.28)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (1.975 1.97)47.57% (-1.973 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (1.426 1.43)82.91% (-1.425 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 58.82%
    Estonia 16.76%
    Draw 24.4%
MoldovaDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 15.13% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 12.4% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.517 -0.52)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.352 0.35)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.271 0.27)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.76%

How you voted: Moldova vs Estonia

Moldova
60.6%
Draw
21.1%
Estonia
18.3%
71
rhs 2.0
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