World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
2 - 3
Estonia

Nicolaescu (67'), Caimacov (90+1')
Baboglo (48'), Nicolaescu (51'), Rata (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Peetson (19'), Sappinen (30'), Kait (70')
Peetson (35'), Palumets (44'), Kait (82'), Ainsalu (90+2')
Palumets (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Moldova and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Estonia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Estonia
58.83% ( -2.06)	24.41% ( 0.61)	16.76% ( 1.45)

Both teams to score 42.25% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56% (

57.44% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75% (

78.24%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

-0.77)

19.41% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

-1.28)

51.24% (

1.28)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.43% (

1.97)

47.57% (

-1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.09% (

1.43)

82.91% (

-1.43)

Score Analysis

Moldova 58.82%

Estonia 16.76%

Draw 24.4%

Moldova	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 15.13% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.82%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.5% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.76%